FBMKLCI Shake-Up in Q3: Sector Winners and Losers
The chart provided above shows the performance of various sectors in Malaysia compared to the FTSE Bursa Malaysia Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (FBMKLCI) in Q3 2024 (assuming nothing much can change on 30-September).
Overall Market Performance: FBMKLCI +4.31%
This positive movement suggests that the overall market sentiment was relatively optimistic during this period. However, the broader index includes companies from a wide range of industries, which means its performance often reflects the combined effects of both outperforming and underperforming sectors.
Top Performing Sectors:
Finance (+11.64%) The financial sector outperformed all other sectors. This sector's strong performance could be attributed to improving economic conditions, which likely increased demand for banking services, loans, and financial products. The sector’s recovery is also possibly linked to better-than-expected earnings and solid fundamentals among financial institutions. Champions in this sector include CIMB (+21.53%), PBBANK (+14.18%), HLBANK (+12.81%) and MAYBANK (+5.74%).
Construction (+8.79%) The construction sector also performed well. This rise may indicate a rebound in construction activities post-pandemic, along with infrastructure developments and government initiatives aimed at boosting the economy. Large-scale projects and the resumption of halted developments might have contributed to this sector's growth. Champions in this sector include GAMUDA (+21.99%) and SUNCON (+19.74%).
Plantation (+3.16%) Despite the positive performance, this sector underperformed index. This positive movement is often linked to the rising demand for palm oil and other agricultural products, both in the domestic and international markets. Increasing commodity prices, particularly in palm oil, may have helped the sector maintain growth despite broader economic uncertainties.
Real Estate Investment Trusts (REIT) (+2.89%) This is in line with stable demand for properties and related investments. This sector likely benefited from increased consumer confidence, economic reopening, and a rebound in property rentals. Investors may have viewed REITs as a defensive play, particularly in times of market volatility.
Properties (+1.10%) The property sector experienced modest growth, which may reflect a cautiously optimistic outlook in the real estate market. While there were gains, they were more subdued compared to sectors like finance and construction. The growth could be driven by low interest rates, encouraging property investments and home purchases, although concerns about oversupply and affordability may have capped further growth.
Underperforming Sectors:
Technology (-22.64%). The technology sector was the hardest hit. This steep drop likely reflects the global slowdown in technology stocks, which have been affected by rising interest rates, inflationary pressures, and a shift in investor sentiment. Technology stocks, particularly those that soared during the pandemic, have seen corrections as markets adjust to new economic realities. Additionally, strong MYR is seen as negative to technology stocks in Malaysia. Some of the losers include NOTION (-57.21%), INARI (-20.55%) and GREATEC (-17.88%).
Energy (-10.44%) The energy sector took a significant hit. Fluctuations in global oil prices, coupled with the ongoing energy transition towards renewable sources, may have created volatility for this sector. Additionally, reduced demand for oil and gas in some regions could have contributed to this decline. Some of the losers include DAYANG (-16.54%), ARMADA (-14.41%) and DIALOG (-9.58%).
Telecommunications (-4.47%) Telecommunications saw a loss, underperforming the market. Despite the sector’s critical role during the pandemic, challenges such as competition, high operational costs, and changing consumer preferences may have weighed on its performance.
Transportation (-3.82%) This could be related to rising fuel costs or operational challenges in the logistics and transport industries. Although global trade is picking up, disruptions such as supply chain bottlenecks or fluctuating demand could have negatively impacted this sector’s performance.
Healthcare (-4.25%) While healthcare services are often considered defensive, this decline might be attributed to reduced pandemic-related demand for healthcare products and services, leading to a contraction in this sector after a boom during the COVID-19 crisis. Some of the losers include HARTA (-15.29%) and TOPGLOV (-6.54%).
Consumer (-2.70%) This may reflect reduced consumer spending or challenges within the retail industry, particularly as inflationary pressures and economic uncertainties affect household budgets. Despite Malaysia's economic reopening, consumer demand may have been tempered, leading to a contraction in this sector.
Utilities (-2.24%) The utilities sector posted a loss, underperforming the FBMKLCI. Utilities typically provide stable returns, but in this case, the sector underperformed possibly due to increased operational costs or regulatory changes. A more stable environment could see this sector bounce back, but during this period, it lagged behind other areas of the economy. Top losers include YTLPOWER (-23.80%) and YTL (-26.76%).
Conclusion:
The sectoral performance in Malaysia, as shown in the chart, highlights a diverse range of outcomes across industries. While some sectors like finance, construction, and plantation performed well, others, particularly technology and energy, faced significant challenges. The overall positive performance of the FBMKLCI indicates market resilience, but the disparity between sectors underscores the varying impacts of global and domestic economic factors.